Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 4.742239 5.145293 5.581959 6.092883 6.677767 7.330615 8.120388
2025-03-30 4.007144 4.540054 5.157673 5.936481 6.907293 8.098689 9.706304
2025-04-06 3.551845 4.134085 4.838379 5.771530 7.005335 8.627777 11.010577
2025-04-13 3.223172 3.825813 4.578168 5.613134 7.046259 9.039987 12.188568
2025-04-20 3.004474 3.626184 4.423702 5.557625 7.194704 9.595237 13.665072
2025-04-27 2.893228 3.550295 4.416468 5.690453 7.612431 10.597054 16.084407
2025-05-04 2.805389 3.494777 4.426594 5.841358 8.067977 11.728973 19.057081
2025-05-11 2.680071 3.377080 4.337431 5.832064 8.265138 12.458220 21.491199
2025-05-18 2.576998 3.281919 4.270756 5.846370 8.496624 13.283397 24.417742
2025-05-25 2.428542 3.113266 4.084554 5.655306 8.353308 13.378401 25.694330
2025-06-01 2.307896 2.977673 3.938220 5.514555 8.279610 13.593806 27.356920
2025-06-08 2.236295 2.908773 3.886675 5.521931 8.469713 14.376322 30.885809
2025-06-15 2.190092 2.880254 3.903126 5.658786 8.948327 15.953449 37.986755
2025-06-22 2.079854 2.752035 3.758866 5.512629 8.872438 16.289611 41.411750
2025-06-29 1.978956 2.632575 3.620765 5.364687 8.772990 16.549869 44.826392
2025-07-06 1.887811 2.523380 3.492355 5.222703 8.666839 16.771430 48.345810
2025-07-13 1.822919 2.451133 3.418904 5.172900 8.745988 17.496558 54.946163
2025-07-20 1.796391 2.436403 3.437467 5.292029 9.204206 19.397775 70.453663
2025-07-27 1.774222 2.427006 3.463658 5.427188 9.721229 21.678619 93.891704
2025-08-03 1.727595 2.376575 3.417590 5.418869 9.904338 22.994075 114.463651
2025-08-10 1.687636 2.334934 3.383950 5.431673 10.140667 24.593446 144.636293
2025-08-17 1.619382 2.245088 3.262842 5.260521 9.897631 24.399212 153.468589
2025-08-24 1.562267 2.171438 3.166853 5.134238 9.755298 24.557325 169.106265